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Author:Griffin, J. M.
Ji, X.
Martin, S.
Title:Momentum investing and business cycle risk: evidence from pole to pole
Journal:Journal of Finance
2003 : DEC, VOL. 58:6, p. 2515-2547
Index terms:Business cycles
Macroeconomics
Financial risk
Economic conditions
Country comparisons
Language:eng
Abstract:The authors examine whether macroeconomic risk can explain momentum profits internationally. Neither an unconditional model based on the Chen, Roll, and Ross (Journal of business, 1986) factors nor a conditional forecasting model based on lagged instruments provides any evidence that macroeconomic risk variables can explain momentum. In addition, momentum profits around the world are economically large and statistically reliable in both good and bad economic states.
SCIMA record nr: 256040
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