search query: @indexterm ECONOMIC FORECASTING / total: 665
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Author: | Fong, Lihua |
Title: | Economic growth forecasting: a method of comprehensive integration (original in Chinese) |
Journal: | Economic Science (c)
1999 : 1, p.80-84 |
Index terms: | ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC FORECASTING |
Language: | chn |
Abstract: | The traditional method of economic growth forecasting makes a calculation with a single model and so it can not consider the influence of factors comprehensively. To reflect comprehensively and objectively the comprehensive influence of economic growth on various factors, this paper designs a method of comprehensive integration for describing the long-term fluctuation course of economic growth: Y(t)-T(t)+P(t)+A(t). It is feasible to forecast economic growth by using such a method. The comprehensively forecasting model has such advantages as few errors and better forecasting results. |
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