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Author:Nelson, E.
Title:An overhaul of doctrine: The underpinning of UK inflation targeting
Journal:Economic Journal
2009 : JUN, VOL. 119:538, p. 333-368
Index terms:economic policy
economic forecasting
monetary policy
inflation
history
United Kingdom
Language:eng
Abstract:The inflation targeting (henceforth as: i-trg.) regime in the United Kingdom (UK) is not the result of a change in policy makers' (as: plmks.) objectives. Analysis of UK plmks.' statements shows the objectives having been essentially unchanged over five decades. Instead, the crucial underpinning of UK i-trg. is an overhaul of doctrine, involving changes in plmks.' views as to key IS and Phillips (as: P.) curve's parameters. They have especially involved whether levels terms of the real interest rate and the output gap appear in the curves. Opposed to conventional wisdom, changing views on the expected-inflation term in the P. curve do not play a role.
SCIMA record nr: 272191
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