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Author:Campa, J.
Chang, K.
Title:Arbitrage-based tests of target-zone credibility: evidence from ERM cross-rate options
Journal:American Economic Review
1996 : SEP, VOL. 86:4, p. 726-740
Index terms:ECONOMICS
OPTIONS
USA
Language:eng
Abstract:This paper introduces two arbitrage-based tests of target zone credibility using a new data source, ERM cross-rate options. Using daily option prices from September 1991 to August 1994, the authors assess the credibility of the pound-mark and mark-lira target zones that collapsed in September 1992, and the ongoing mark-French franc target zone. These tests are based on restrictions that must apply to all option prices within a credible target zone, and are free from specification error and estimation error.
SCIMA record nr: 153282
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