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Author:Koedijk, K. G.
Schafgans, M.
Vries, C. G. de
Title:The tail index of exchange rate returns
Journal:Journal of International Economics
1990 : AUG, VOL. 29:1-2, p. 93-108
Index terms:EXCHANGE RATES
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
RATE OF RETURN
STATISTICAL METHODS
Language:eng
Abstract:In the literature on the empirical distribution of foreign exchange rates there is now consensus that exchange rate yields are fat-tailed. Three problems, however, persist: 1. Which class of distribution functions is most appropriate? 2. Are the parameters of the distribution invariant over subperiods? 3. What are the effects of aggregation over time on the distribution? Extreme value theory is employed to shed new light on these questions. The theoretical results are applied then to statistical data. It was found that the direct estimation procedure used in this study constitutes an improvement over other methods which have been used previously.
SCIMA record nr: 86298
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