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Author: | Zarnowitz, V. |
Title: | Die Regelmassigkeit von Konjunkturzyklen (The regularity of business cycles) |
Journal: | IFO-Studien
1991 : VOL. 37:1, p. 39-89 |
Index terms: | BUSINESS CYCLES |
Language: | ger |
Abstract: | Business cycles are much less regular than seasonal fluctuations but for limit length time series comparison, autocorrelation, spectral analysis and autoregression revealed spectacular degree of regularity (1958-82 in Britain). The problem is that 25 years of data is a slender basis for determining cycles whose typical length may be five years. |
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