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Author:Bertola, G.
Drazen, A.
Title:Trigger points and budget cuts: explaining the effects of fiscal austerity.
Journal:American Economic Review
1993 : MAR, VOL. 83:1, p. 11-26
Index terms:FISCAL POLICY
BUDGETING
CONSUMPTION
Language:eng
Abstract:An optimizing model explains counterintuitive effects of fiscal policy in terms of expectations. If government spending follows an upward-trending stochastic process which the public believes may fall sharply when it reaches specific "trigger" points, then optimizing consumption behavior and simple budget-constraint arithmetic imply a nonlinear relationship between private consumption and government spending.
SCIMA record nr: 109167
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