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| Author: | Kerkhof, M. van de Hisschemoller, M. Spanjersberg, M. |
| Title: | Shaping Diversity in Participatory Foresight Studies: Experiences with Interactive Backcasting in a Stakeholder Assessment on Long-Term Climate Policy in The Netherlands |
| Journal: | Greener Management International
2002 : SPRING, VOL. 37, p. 85-99 |
| Index terms: | FUTURE CLIMATE STAKEHOLDERS PARTICIPATION RESEARCH |
| Language: | eng |
| Abstract: | An alternative approach to traditional forecasting and planning methods is backcasting. Back-casting is considered innovative, as it does not extrapolate current trends and developments but takes a possible future image as a starting point for analysis and subsequently reasons backwards to the present situation. Backcasting is a quite simple analytical instrument that allows participants to shape the diversity between a possible future and the problematic present and helps them to identify opportunities for radical change. In the case of an unstructured problem such as climate change, backcasting becomes more difficult and requires an interactive application, involving stakeholders. |
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