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Author:Rudolph, J. W.
Repenning, N. P.
Title:Disaster Dynamics: Understanding the Role of Quantity in Organizational Collapse
Journal:Administrative Science Quarterly
2002 : MAR, VOL. 47:1, p. 1-30
Index terms:DISASTERS
ORGANIZATION
ANALYTICAL REVIEW
QUANTITATIVE TECHNIQUES
Language:eng
Abstract:This article examines the role that the quantity of non- novel events plays in precipitating disaster through the development of a formal (mathematical) system- dynamics model. Building on existing case studies of disaster, the authors develop a general theory of how an organizational system responds to an on-going stream of non-novel interruptions to existing plans and procedures. The authors show how an overaccumulation of interruptions can shift an organizational system from a resilient, self-regulating regime, which offsets the effects of this accumulation, to a fragile, self-escalating regime that amplifies them. The authors offer a new characterization of the conditions under which organizations may be prone to major disasters caused by an accumulation of minor interruptions.
SCIMA record nr: 238001
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