Tekijä:Arkes, H.R.
Faust, D.
Guilmette, T.J.
Otsikko:Eliminating the hindsight bias
Lehti:Journal of Applied Psychology
1988 : MAY, VOL. 73, No. 2, p.305-307
Asiasana:SOCIAL PSYCHOLOGY
BIAS
PROBABILITY
Kieli:eng
Tiivistelmä:An effort to eliminate hindsight bias, when those who consider the likelihood of an event after it occurs exaggerate their ability to predict the event in advance, among 194 neuropsychologists who read a case history and were asked to estimate the probability of 3 different diagnoses in 3 hindsight groups. The method, subjects, procedure and results. A Table illustrates the study.
SCIMA tietueen numero: 73152
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