haku: @all stability / yhteensä: 209
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| Tekijä: | Riddington, G. L. |
| Otsikko: | Learning and ability to pay: developing a model to forecast ski tourism |
| Lehti: | Journal of Travel & Tourism Marketing
2002 : VOL. 13:1-2, p. 111-126 |
| Asiasana: | Tourism Travel Sports industry Forecasting |
| Kieli: | eng |
| Tiivistelmä: | The decision whether to use time series or econometric methods to forecast demand is not clear. The paper reviews the outcomes 1996-2000, the forecast performance of the two models and the stability of the structure of both when updated. It unequivocally suggests that the learning curve approach produced better forecasts. The paper concludes that the best forecasting approach will depend upon whether the market is stable and that the weight given to data must reflect the information content of that data. |
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