haku: @all futures / yhteensä: 287
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Tekijä: | Dreborg, K. |
Otsikko: | Essence of backcasting |
Lehti: | Futures
1996 : NOV, VOL. 28:9, p. 813-828 |
Asiasana: | DEVELOPMENT POLICY FUTURE |
Kieli: | eng |
Tiivistelmä: | Sustainable development is a highly complex problem area, which will probably call for major changes of industrialized societies in the long run. How could futures studies contribute to a policy forming process directed to these problems? and what kind of knowledge about the future is most needed? It is argued that a backcasting approach is well suited to these kinds of long-term problems. Fundamental theoretical assumptions behind backcasting are traced. The merits of backcasting should be judged in the context of discovery rather than in the context of justification. |
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