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Tekijä:Richardson, F. M.
Kane, G. D.
Lobingier, P.
Otsikko:The impact of recession on the prediction of corporate failure
Lehti:Journal of Business Finance and Accounting
1998 : JAN/MAR, VOL. 25:1-2, p. 167-186
Asiasana:BUSINESS CYCLES
COMPANY FAILURES
RECESSION
Kieli:eng
Tiivistelmä:In the paper, it is hypothesized that recessionary business cycles can contribute to corporate failure. Specifically, a relationship between failure and (1) knowledge that failure occurred during a recession and (2) knowledge that the predictor variables were measured during a recession is tested. It is shown that accounting-based logistic regression models used to predict corporate failure are sensitive to the occurrence of a recession. Furthermore, the results indicate that such models are sensitive to knowledge that the predictor variables were generated during a recession and to knowledge that failure ultimately occurred during a recession.
SCIMA tietueen numero: 174089
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