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Tekijä:Kalimipalli, M.
Susmel, R.
Otsikko:Regime-switching stochastic volatility and short-term interest rates
Lehti:Journal of Empirical Finance
2004 : JUN, VOL. 11:3, p. 309-329
Asiasana:Financial markets
Interest rates
Volatility
Models
Kieli:eng
Tiivistelmä:This paper introduces regime switching in a 2-factor stochastic volatility (SV) model to explain the behaviour of short-term interest rates. The volatility (hereafter as: vol.) of short-term interest rates as a SV process whose mean is subject to shifts in regime. The regime-switching SV (or RSV) model is estimated using a Gibbs Sampling-based Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm. In-sample results strongly favour the RSV model in comparison to the single-state SV model and Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) family of models. Out-of-sample results are mixed and, overall, provide weak support for the RSV model.
SCIMA tietueen numero: 254190
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