haku: @author Nisihira, S. / yhteensä: 1
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Tekijä: | Nisihira, S. |
Otsikko: | Japan : recent polling problems. |
Lehti: | European Research
1987 : AUG, VOL. 15:3, p. 171-173 |
Asiasana: | OPINION POLLS JAPAN ELECTIONS |
Kieli: | eng |
Tiivistelmä: | Election forecasting in Japan dates back to a quarter of a century. The significant inaccuracy of the opinion pollers in the 1983 and 1986 elections indicates that Japanese opinion polling is approaching a turning point. Despite the advances in statistical analysis and computer technology, election forecasting has slightly deteriorated. This is due to several circumstances:increasingly complex political situation, difficulties in access to voters' list, and a drop in the response rate. |
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