haku: @author Arabie, P. / yhteensä: 1
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| Tekijä: | Arabie, P. Maschmeyer, C. J. Carroll, J. D. |
| Otsikko: | Impact scaling, method and application. |
| Lehti: | Technological Forecasting and Social Change
1987 : NOV, VOL. 32:3, p. 245-272 |
| Asiasana: | FORECASTING TECHNIQUES SCALING MODELS FUTURE STUDIES |
| Kieli: | eng |
| Tiivistelmä: | For improving the quality of group judgment of conditional and unconditional probabilities of selected possible future events and their likely effects on such indicators as business parameters, a number of strategies were advanced for weighting subjective probability estimates from different expert panelists. Impact scaling has used psychologically plausible models developed in multidimensional scaling. The Industrial Differences Scaling model is emphasized that is assumed in studies to date, to yield a graphic portrayal of selected events, and to depict differences among individual panelists, and a more recent available discrete psychological model is also introduced. |
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