haku: @author Bunn, D. W. / yhteensä: 10
viite: 1 / 10
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Tekijä: | Bunn, D. W. |
Otsikko: | Combining forecasts. (!Credibility) |
Lehti: | European Journal of Operational Research
1988 : FEB, VOL. 33:3, p. 223-229 |
Asiasana: | FORECASTING EFFICIENCY |
Kieli: | eng |
Tiivistelmä: | The current theories and practice of combining forecasts from a wide perspective are reviewed. The various motivations for combining - such as theoretical environment, empiricism, computability, software, model-management, creditibility - are discussed, with particular attention to model creditibility as well as forecast accuracy. Issues affecting the performance of composite forecasts are identified. A concluding section reflects upon the limitations of the extreme perspective of pragmatism which fosters this approach to forecasting. |
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