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| Tekijä: | Brockett, P. |
| Otsikko: | A case study in applying neural networks to predicting insolvency for property and casuality insurers |
| Lehti: | Journal of the Operational Research Society
1997 : DEC, VOL. 48:12, p. 1153-1162 |
| Asiasana: | OPERATIONAL RESEARCH NEURAL NETWORKS PROPERTY |
| Kieli: | eng |
| Tiivistelmä: | This paper presents a neural network artificial intelligence model developed in cooperation with the Texas Department of Insurance as part of an early warning system for predicting insurer insolvency. A feed-forward back-propagation methodology is utilised to compute an estimate of insurer propensity towards insolvency. The results are then applied to a collection of all Texas domestic property and casualty insurance companies which became insolvent between 1987 and 1990 and the goal of predicting insolvency three years ahead of time. |
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