haku: @indexterm UNEMPLOYMENT / yhteensä: 1236
viite: 133 / 1236
Tekijä: | Abbring, J. H. Berg, G. J. van den Ours, J. C. van |
Otsikko: | The anatomy of unemployment dynamics |
Lehti: | European Economic Review
2002 : DEC, VOL. 46:10, p. 1785-1824 |
Asiasana: | UNEMPLOYMENT BUSINESS CYCLES DURATION ANALYSIS SEASONAL FLUCTUATION |
Kieli: | eng |
Tiivistelmä: | This paper examines the relation between individual unemployment durations and incidence (inflow size) on the one hand and the time-varying macroeconomic conditions in the economy on the other. The authors develop a model for the analysis of aggregate unemployment incidence and duration data and estimate this model on quarterly French data over the period 1982- 1994 stratified by sex. The authors find upward trends in both incidence and durations. The former is relatively important for females, the latter for males. Male incidence and durations are countercyclical, with only a minor role for cohort effects on durations. In contrast, female cohorts entering at the top of the cycle have relatively short unemployment spells and the female incidence is, if anything, procyclical. |
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