haku: @indexterm MONEY SUPPLY / yhteensä: 177
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Tekijä:Xie, Ping
Tang, Caixu
Otsikko:Study on the forecast of multiplier of China's money supply (original in Chinese)
Lehti:Economic Research Journal (c)
1996 : 10, p.25-33
Asiasana:MONEY SUPPLY
CHINA
Kieli:chi
Tiivistelmä:By using the monthly financial figures from June 1985 to Dec. 1995 and adopting the least square estimation method and based on different assumption of the money multiplies this article sets up 3 different models: simple ARIMA model, mixed ARIMA model and self-adaptation forecast model. These 3 models have all passed econometric test. The results of positive research show that China's money multiplier can be forecast and the forecast results can be very accurate. The results of these forecast against different level of money multiplier by using different models are quite different.
SCIMA tietueen numero: 156689
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