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| Tekijä: | Vries, B. de |
| Otsikko: | Energy and environmental consequences and prospects: Taiwan's miracle. |
| Lehti: | Energy Policy
1990 : DEC, VOL. 18:10, p. 949-961 |
| Asiasana: | ENERGY CONSUMPTION TAIWAN SCENARIOS |
| Kieli: | eng |
| Tiivistelmä: | Energy use in Taiwan has grown at rates of 8-10 p.c./year between 1952 and 1988. Official scenarios, based on an average of 6.5 p.c./year economic growth, extrapolate another doubling to tripling of energy and electricity use for the beginning of the next century. With help of a simple model, four scenarios for the future are explored. A low energy future for Taiwan is not impossible but requires great efforts in terms of political commitment and technomanagerial skills. Energy and environmental aspects of electric power and road transport are discussed. It is concluded that for Taiwan's economic miracle to be feasible and desirable, adequate anticipation of, and response to, environmental consequences of a business as usual future are necessary. |
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