haku: @author Metz, R. / yhteensä: 2
viite: 1 / 2
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Tekijä: | Metz, R. |
Otsikko: | Über die Stochastische Struktur langfristiger Wachstumschwankungen = About stochastic structure of long-lasting growth-changes |
Lehti: | IFO-Studien
1992 : No.2, p. 173-194 |
Asiasana: | TIME SERIES STATISTICAL METHODS GROWTH CHANGE |
Kieli: | ger |
Tiivistelmä: | The methods of testing historical time series for the presence of a stochastic growth component are illustrated: the Augmented Dickey-Fuller and the Perron-Test which allows for a trend-break. The results for the Gross Domestics Product per capita in Germany from 1850-1990 obtained by both tests indicate presence of a stochastic growth component. However, a thorough discussion of the implications of these tests shows that the results ought to be handled with caution. |
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