haku: @author Roszbach, K. / yhteensä: 2
viite: 2 / 2
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Tekijä: | Carling, K. Jacobson, T. Roszbach, K. |
Otsikko: | Dormancy risk and expected profits of consumer loans |
Lehti: | Journal of Banking and Finance
2001 : APR, VOL. 25:4, p. 717-739 |
Asiasana: | CONSUMERS LOANS DURATION ANALYSIS MODELS |
Kieli: | eng |
Tiivistelmä: | A bank that lends money to a household faces two types of risk. Frequently mentioned is the risk of default. Seldom referred to is the risk of an early redemption of the loan - leading to dormancy. In this paper, the authors model the transition of consumer loans from an active to a dormant state. To this end, the authors use data on 4786 individuals who were granted credit by a Swedish lending institution between September 1993 and August 1995 and estimate a semi-parametric duration model. The authors analyze the factors that determine the time to maturity on consumer loans and investigate the ability of the model to match the maturities observed in the data. Moreover, the authors derive the distribution of conditional expected durations of loans and show how a loan application can be evaluated by calculating its expected profit. |
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