haku: @indexterm Forecasting techniques / yhteensä: 246
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| Tekijä: | Weiberg, J. |
| Otsikko: | Nonlinear models for the prediction of early quits and dismissals ! British Rail |
| Lehti: | Organization Studies
1990 : VOL. 11:3, p. 435-449 |
| Asiasana: | LABOUR TURNOVER DISMISSAL PERSONNEL MANAGEMENT EMPLOYMENT FORECASTING FORECASTING TECHNIQUES |
| Kieli: | eng |
| Tiivistelmä: | The inverse relationship between length of service and labour turnover is a consistent finding in the literature. It is shown that increased accuracy and sensitivity can be obtained by concentrating separately on quits and dismissals. A longitudinal cohort analysis of 40, 816 British Rail workers recruited during 1979-1980 is presented as illustration. Comparisons between quit rates and dismissal rates during the first ten month of employment are made. The following major results are outlined: 1. quit rates and dismissal rates are better explained by nonlinear functions than by linear ones; 2. quits are best described by a parabolic function whereas dismissals by a nearly inverse "U"-shaped function. Suggestions for personnel managers are provided. |
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