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| Tekijä: | Taylor West, C. Theil, H. |
| Otsikko: | An empirical analysis of Stein-effects in regional forecasts |
| Lehti: | Empirical Economics
1991 : VOL. 16:3, p.363-373 |
| Asiasana: | FORECASTING FORECASTING TECHNIQUES |
| Kieli: | eng |
| Tiivistelmä: | The paper proposes a Stain-like shrinking methodology for modifying sets of metropolitan area economic forecasts. The authors apply the technique to historic published quarterly forecasts of twenty regions in Florida. Stein-like shrinking yields modest improvement in accuracy by three alternative criteria, but the gains diminish with the length of the forecast horizon. |
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