haku: @indexterm POISSON DISTRIBUTION / yhteensä: 27
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| Tekijä: | Koning, R. H. (et al.) |
| Otsikko: | A simulation model for football championships |
| Lehti: | European Journal of Operational Research
2003 : JUL, VOL. 148:2, p. 268-276 |
| Asiasana: | Poisson distribution Football Simulation |
| Kieli: | eng |
| Tiivistelmä: | The authors discuss a simulation/probability model that identifies the team that is most likely to win a tournament. The model can also be used to answer other questions like 'which team had a lucky draw?' or 'what is the probability that two teams meet at some moment in the tournament?' Input to the simulation/probability model are scoring intensities, that are estimated as a weighted average of goals scored. The model has been used in practice to write articles for the popular press, and seems to perform well. |
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