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Tekijä: | Mahesh, S. Moskowitz, H. |
Otsikko: | An Information-Maximizing Interactive Procedure for Scenario Probability Elicitation |
Lehti: | Decision Sciences
1990 : Summer, VOL. 21:3, p. 533-550 |
Asiasana: | DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEMS FORECASTING |
Kieli: | eng |
Tiivistelmä: | The authors propose an interactive information maximizing scenario probability query procedure (IMQP) that exploits the desirable features of existing methods while avoids their disadvantages. The approach requires elicitation of cardinal probability estiamtions and bounds for only the simplest events and ordinal probability comparisons of selected scenarios. |
SCIMA