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Tekijä:Masson, P.
Otsikko:Contagion: macroeconomic models with multiple equilibria
Lehti:Journal of International Money and Finance
1999 : AUG, VOL. 18:4, p. 587-602
Asiasana:Equilibrium analysis
Models
Vapaa asiasana:Spillovers
Kieli:eng
Tiivistelmä:Several concepts of contagion are distinguished. It is argued that models that allow only a single equilibrium conditional on the macroeconomic fundamentals are not adequate to capture all forms of contagion, hence it is useful to formulate macro models that admit multiple equilibria and self-fulfilling expectations. A simple balance of payments model is presented to illustrate that phenomenon, and some back-of-the-envelope calculations assess its relevance to the coincidence of emerging market crises in 1994-95 and in 1997.
SCIMA tietueen numero: 191699
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