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| Tekijä: | Laubach, T. |
| Otsikko: | Measuring the NAIRI: Evidence from seven economies |
| Lehti: | Review of Economics and Statistics
2001 : MAY, VOL. 83:2, p. 218-231 |
| Asiasana: | ECONOMIC CONDITIONS MEASUREMENT JAPAN AUSTRALIA PHILLIPS CURVE |
| Kieli: | eng |
| Tiivistelmä: | Several specifications of state-space models are used to obtain estimates of the NAIRU for the G7 except Japan, plus Australia, over the past 28 years. A Phillips curve- type regression is shown to deliver estimates that do not mimic low-frequency movements in unemployment rates, even when a drift is included in the specification of the NAIRU. Standard errors around the estimates are extremely large. Using information about the behavior of unemployment, in addition to inflation, alleviates both these shortcomings. This paper provides the substantial list of references on this subject. |
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