haku: @author Kangas, J. / yhteensä: 5
viite: 4 / 5
| Tekijä: | Alho, J. Kangas, J. Kolehmainen, O. |
| Otsikko: | Uncertainty in expert predictions of the ecological consequences of forest plans |
| Lehti: | Applied Statistics
1996 : VOL. 45:1, p. 1-14 |
| Asiasana: | UNCERTAINTY ECOLOGY FOREST PRODUCTS |
| Kieli: | eng |
| Tiivistelmä: | This paper examines the consistency between expert predictions concerning the ecological effects of forest plans. Maximizing economic yield is no longer the single overriding goal of forestry; landscape and recreational values must also be considered. To optimize the choice of forest plan the various objectives must be made commensurable. The analytical hierarchy process provides one approach to the problem, but usually without a statistical assessment of the certainty of the results. An alternative approach using variance components modelling is derived. |
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