haku: @author Masson, P. / yhteensä: 6
viite: 3 / 6
Tekijä: | Masson, P. |
Otsikko: | Contagion: macroeconomic models with multiple equilibria |
Lehti: | Journal of International Money and Finance
1999 : AUG, VOL. 18:4, p. 587-602 |
Asiasana: | Equilibrium analysis Models |
Vapaa asiasana: | Spillovers |
Kieli: | eng |
Tiivistelmä: | Several concepts of contagion are distinguished. It is argued that models that allow only a single equilibrium conditional on the macroeconomic fundamentals are not adequate to capture all forms of contagion, hence it is useful to formulate macro models that admit multiple equilibria and self-fulfilling expectations. A simple balance of payments model is presented to illustrate that phenomenon, and some back-of-the-envelope calculations assess its relevance to the coincidence of emerging market crises in 1994-95 and in 1997. |
SCIMA