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Tekijä: | Jaccard, M. (et al.) |
Otsikko: | Methodological contrasts in costing greenhouse gas abatement policies: optimization and simulation modeling of micro-economic effects in Canada |
Lehti: | European Journal of Operational Research
2003 : FEB, VOL. 145:1, p. 148-164 |
Asiasana: | Decision analysis Optimization Energy Environment |
Kieli: | eng |
Tiivistelmä: | The national process in Canada for greenhouse gas abatement selected contrasting models to estimate costs, providing a rare opportunity to asess the importance of methodological differences in cost estimates when other input assumptions are the same. MARKAL is a well-known optimization model of the energy-economy system; CIMS is a policy simulation model developed initially for Canada. CIMS' present value cost estimate for Canada to achieve its Kyoto target of 6% below 1990 emissions by 2010 is $45 billion (CDN) while MARKAL's is $15 billion. The difference would have been slightly larger had all target assumptions of the two models been identical. |
SCIMA