haku: @indexterm Corporate finance / yhteensä: 722
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Tekijä:Fama, E. F.
Bliss, R.R.
Otsikko:The information in long -maturity forward rates
Lehti:American Economic Review
1987 : SEP, VOL. 77:4, p. 680-692
Asiasana:CORPORATE FINANCE
STOCK MARKETS
INTEREST RATES
Kieli:eng
Tiivistelmä:Current one-year forward rates are examined in the USA. Treasury bonds are information about the current term structure of one-year expected returns on the bonds, and forward rates track variation through time on one-year expected returns. More interesting, one- year forward rates forcast changes in the one-year interest rate two- to four- years ahead, and forecast power increases with the forecast horizon. This forecast power is attributed to a mean-reverting tendency in the one- year interest rate
SCIMA tietueen numero: 68577
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