haku: @author Marchetti, C. / yhteensä: 9
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| Tekijä: | Marchetti, C. Meyer, P. Ausubel, J. |
| Otsikko: | Human population dynamics revisited with the logistic model: how much can be modeled and predicted? |
| Lehti: | Technological Forecasting and Social Change
1996 : MAY, VOL. 52:1, p. 1-30 |
| Asiasana: | TECHNOLOGY FORECASTING LOGISTICS |
| Kieli: | eng |
| Tiivistelmä: | Decrease or growth of population comes from the interplay of deaths and births (and locally, migration). The authors revive the logistic model, which was tested and found wanting in early 20-th-century studies of aggregate human populations, and apply it instead to life expectancy (death) and fertility (birth), the key factors totaling population. For death, once an individual has legally entered society, the logistic portrays the situation crisply. The authors revisit the logistic analysis of aggregate human numbers. |
SCIMA