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Tekijä:Gomez, D.M.(et al.)
Otsikko:Trade-led growth hypothesis in Cuban commercial regimes since 1960
Lehti:Economics of transition
2011 : APR, VOL. 19:2, p. 287-304
Asiasana:Cuba
contracts
imports
trade
growth
unit roots
cointegration
models
Vapaa asiasana:Granger causality
Kieli:eng
Tiivistelmä:The paper examines the impact of trade on Cuban growth during different commercial policy regimes from 1960 up to 2004. The Granger causality is used by means of the modified Wald test for augmented-level vector autoregressive model with integrated and cointegrated processes introduced by Toda and Yamamoto (1995) and Dolado and Lutekepohl (1996). There is shown an import-led growth hypothesis during the Soviet-oriented pattern that is rejected after 1990, when exports are not only responsive to growth expansion but also to imports' behaviour.
SCIMA tietueen numero: 272533
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