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Author:Lange, Henning
Title:Disaggregation by State Inference A Probabilistic Framework For Non-Intrusive Load Monitoring
Publication type:Master's thesis
Publication year:2015
Pages:58      Language:   eng
Department/School:Perustieteiden korkeakoulu
Main subject:Informaatiotekniikka   (T-61)
Supervisor:Karhunen, Juha
Instructor:Berges, Mario
Electronic version URL: http://urn.fi/URN:NBN:fi:aalto-201602161334
Location:P1 Ark Aalto  3503   | Archive
Keywords:hidden Markov models
energy disaggregation
load monitoring
efficient inference
Abstract (eng):Non-intrusive load monitoring (NILM), the problem of disaggregating whole home power measurements into single-appliance measurements, has received increasing attention from the academic community because of its energy saving potentials, however the majority of NILM approaches are either variants of event-based or event-less disaggregation.
Event-based approaches are able to capture much information about the transient behavior of appliances but suffer from error-propagation problems whereas event-less approaches are lessprone to error-propagation problems but can only incorporate transient information to a small degree.
On top of that inference techniques for event-less approaches are either computationally expensive, do not allow to trade off computational time for approximation accuracy or are prone to local minima.

This work will contribute three-fold: first an automated way to infer ground truth from single appliance readings is introduced, second an augmentation for event-less approaches is introduced that allows to capture side-channel as well as transient information of change-points, third an inference technique is presented that allows to control the trade-off between computational expense and accuracy.
Ultimately, this work will try to put the NILM problem into a probabilistic framework that allows for closing feedback loops between the different stages of event-based NILM approaches, effectively bridging event-less and event-based approaches.

The performance of the inference technique is evaluated on a synthetic data set and compared to state-of-the-art approaches.
Then the hypothesis that incorporating transient information increases the disaggregation performance is tested on a real-life data set.
ED:2016-02-21
INSSI record number: 53126
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