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| Tekijä: | Coleman, B. J. Lynch, A. K. |
| Otsikko: | Identifying the NCAA Tournament "Dance Card" |
| Lehti: | Interfaces
2001 : MAY-JUN, VOL. 31:3, p. 76-86 |
| Asiasana: | COMMITTEES TEAM DEVELOPMENT DECISION MAKING |
| Kieli: | eng |
| Tiivistelmä: | The NCAA Basketball Tournament selection committee annually selects the Division I men's teams that should receive at-large bids to the national championship tournament. Although its deliberations are shrouded in secrecy, the committee is supposed to consider a litany of team-performance statistics, many of which outsiders can reasonably estimate. Using a probit analysis on objective team data from 1994 through 1999, the authors developed an equation that accurately classified nearly 90 percent of 249 "bubble" teams during that time frame and over 85 percent for the 2000 tournament. Given the NCAA Tournament's nickname of the big dance, the equation is effectively the "dance card" that determined whether a team got an invitation from past committees and is also a tool that could aid decision making for future committees. |
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